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Editorial

Midterm trends put Republican majority at risk

By Robert A. Strong
The Philadelphia Tribune
https://www.phillytrib.com/

Since 1946, there have been 20 midterm elections. In 18 of them, the president’s party lost seats in the House of Representatives. That’s 90% of the midterm elections in the past 80 years. —AP PHOTO/RAHMAT GULRahmat Gul

Now that the 2026 midterm elections are less than a year away, public interest in where things stand is on the rise. Of course, in a democracy no one knows the outcome of an election before it takes place, despite what the pollsters may predict.

Nevertheless, it is common for commentators and citizens to revisit old elections to learn what might be coming in the ones that lie ahead.

Robert A. Strong is senior fellow at the Miller Center at University of Virginia. The Conversation

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